The Impact of Climate Change on Potential Invasion Risk of Oryctes monoceros Worldwide

As a significant threat to agriculture, pests have caused great disservice crop production and food security. Understanding the mechanisms of pests’ outbreaks invasion is critical in giving sound suggestions on their control prevention strategies. The African rhinoceros beetle, Oryctes monoceros (Olivier), as most damaging pest palms, banana, sugarcane, pineapple, severely threatens due its ability kill both young matured hosts. Analyzing effect climate change major parameters O. life history has been an important issue recently, given sensitivity thermal conditions. However, information how alters geographical distribution poorly understood. By combining environmental variables occurrence records, we were able assess risk factors for create maps using Boosted Regression Tree model. Our results significance showed that annual temperature variation (39.45%), seasonality (23.00%), isothermality (18.76%), precipitation hottest quarter months (6.07%), average day time (3.27%), relatively affected . We also found projected potential distributions pest’s habitats all future global warming scenarios exceeded present known distribution. model predicts habitat suitability predominantly concentrated along Africa’s west east coastlines, Asia’s south coasts, South America’s north few locations spread over North southern coasts coastal regions. These outputs provide solid theoretical foundation evaluations control.